Modeling Early Earth Climate with GEEBITT

Modeling Early Earth Climate with GEEBITT
https://serc.carleton.edu/NAGTWorkshops/earlyearth/activities/17788.html

Cindy Shellito, On the Cutting Edge Collection - Science Education Resource Center (SERC) at Carleton College

Students gain experience using a spreadsheet and working with others to decide how to conduct their model 'experiments' with the NASA GEEBITT (Global Equilibrium Energy Balance Interactive Tinker Toy). This activity helps students become more familiar with the physical processes that made Earth's early climate so different from that of today. Students also acquire first-hand experience with a limitation in modeling, specifically, parameterization of critical processes.

Activity takes one 50-minute class period. Computer access and special software is required.

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See how this Activity supports the Next Generation Science Standards»

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High School

Performance Expectations: 2

HS-ESS2-4: Use a model to describe how variations in the flow of energy into and out of Earth’s systems result in changes in climate.

HS-PS3-1: Create a computational model to calculate the change in the energy of one component in a system when the change in energy of the other component(s) and energy flows in and out of the system are known.

Disciplinary Core Ideas: 8

HS-ESS1.A2: The study of stars’ light spectra and brightness is used to identify compositional elements of stars, their movements, and their distances from Earth.

HS-ESS1.B2: Cyclical changes in the shape of Earth’s orbit around the sun, together with changes in the tilt of the planet’s axis of rotation, both occurring over hundreds of thousands of years, have altered the intensity and distribution of sunlight falling on the earth. These phenomena cause a cycle of ice ages and other gradual climate changes.

HS-ESS2.A3: The geological record shows that changes to global and regional climate can be caused by interactions among changes in the sun’s energy output or Earth’s orbit, tectonic events, ocean circulation, volcanic activity, glaciers, vegetation, and human activities. These changes can occur on a variety of time scales from sudden (e.g., volcanic ash clouds) to intermediate (ice ages) to very long-term tectonic cycles.

HS-ESS2.D1: The foundation for Earth’s global climate systems is the electromagnetic radiation from the sun, as well as its reflection, absorption, storage, and redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and land systems, and this energy’s re-radiation into space.

HS-PS3.A1: Energy is a quantitative property of a system that depends on the motion and interactions of matter and radiation within that system. That there is a single quantity called energy is due to the fact that a system’s total energy is conserved, even as, within the system, energy is continually transferred from one object to another and between its various possible forms.

HS-PS3.B1: Conservation of energy means that the total change of energy in any system is always equal to the total energy transferred into or out of the system.

HS-PS3.B4: The availability of energy limits what can occur in any system.

HS-PS3.D1: Although energy cannot be destroyed, it can be converted to less useful forms—for example, to thermal energy in the surrounding environment.

Cross Cutting Concepts: 10

Patterns, Cause and effect, Systems and System Models, Energy and Matter, Structure and Function, Stability and Change

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Patterns, Cause and effect, Systems and System Models, Energy and Matter, Structure and Function, Stability and Change

HS-C1.4: Mathematical representations are needed to identify some patterns

HS-C2.1: Empirical evidence is required to differentiate between cause and correlation and make claims about specific causes and effects.

HS-C2.4: Changes in systems may have various causes that may not have equal effects.

HS-C4.2: When investigating or describing a system, the boundaries and initial conditions of the system need to be defined and their inputs and outputs analyzed and described using models.

HS-C4.3: Models (e.g., physical, mathematical, computer models) can be used to simulate systems and interactions—including energy, matter, and information flows—within and between systems at different scales.

HS-C4.4: Models can be used to predict the behavior of a system, but these predictions have limited precision and reliability due to the assumptions and approximations inherent in models.

HS-C5.2: Changes of energy and matter in a system can be described in terms of energy and matter flows into, out of, and within that system.

HS-C6.1: Investigating or designing new systems or structures requires a detailed examination of the properties of different materials, the structures of different components, and connections of components to reveal its function and/or solve a problem.

HS-C7.2: Change and rates of change can be quantified and modeled over very short or very long periods of time. Some system changes are irreversible.

HS-C7.3: Feedback (negative or positive) can stabilize or destabilize a system.

Science and Engineering Practices: 12

Asking Questions and Defining Problems, Developing and Using Models, Planning and Carrying Out Investigations, Analyzing and Interpreting Data, Using Mathematics and Computational Thinking, Constructing Explanations and Designing Solutions, Engaging in Argument from Evidence, Obtaining, Evaluating, and Communicating Information

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HS-P1.4: ask questions to clarify and refine a model, an explanation, or an engineering problem

HS-P2.3: Develop, revise, and/or use a model based on evidence to illustrate and/or predict the relationships between systems or between components of a system

HS-P2.6: Develop and/or use a model (including mathematical and computational) to generate data to support explanations, predict phenomena, analyze systems, and/or solve problems.

HS-P3.6: Manipulate variables and collect data about a complex model of a proposed process or system to identify failure points or improve performance relative to criteria for success or other variables.

HS-P4.1: Analyze data using tools, technologies, and/or models (e.g., computational, mathematical) in order to make valid and reliable scientific claims or determine an optimal design solution.

HS-P4.2: Apply concepts of statistics and probability (including determining function fits to data, slope, intercept, and correlation coefficient for linear fits) to scientific and engineering questions and problems, using digital tools when feasible.

HS-P4.4: Compare and contrast various types of data sets (e.g., self-generated, archival) to examine consistency of measurements and observations.

HS-P5.1: Create and/or revise a computational model or simulation of a phenomenon, designed device, process, or system.

HS-P5.4: Use simple limit cases to test mathematical expressions, computer programs, algorithms, or simulations of a process or system to see if a model “makes sense” by comparing the outcomes with what is known about the real world.

HS-P6.2: Construct and revise an explanation based on valid and reliable evidence obtained from a variety of sources (including students’ own investigations, models, theories, simulations, peer review) and the assumption that theories and laws that describe the natural world operate today as they did in the past and will continue to do so in the future.

HS-P7.5: Make and defend a claim based on evidence about the natural world or the effectiveness of a design solution that reflects scientific knowledge and student-generated evidence.

HS-P8.5: Communicate scientific and/or technical information or ideas (e.g. about phenomena and/or the process of development and the design and performance of a proposed process or system) in multiple formats (i.e., orally, graphically, textually, mathematically).

Grade Level

High School (9-12)
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College Lower (13-14)
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College Upper (15-16)
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Topics

Greenhouse Effect
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Global Energy Balance
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Climate Feedbacks
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Solar Radiation
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Climate Data
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Climate Reconstructions
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Scenario Development
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Climate Literacy

This Activity builds on the following concepts of Climate Literacy.

Click a topic below for supporting information, teaching ideas, and sample activities.

Excellence in Environmental Education Guidelines

1. Questioning, Analysis and Interpretation Skills:G) Drawing conclusions and developing explanations
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G) Drawing conclusions and developing explanations.

1. Questioning, Analysis and Interpretation Skills:C) Collecting information
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C) Collecting information.

1. Questioning, Analysis and Interpretation Skills:E) Organizing information
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E) Organizing information.

1. Questioning, Analysis and Interpretation Skills:F) Working with models and simulations
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F) Working with models and simulations.

2. Knowledge of Environmental Processes and Systems:2.1 The Earth as a Physical System:A) Processes that shape the Earth
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A) Processes that shape the Earth.

2. Knowledge of Environmental Processes and Systems:2.1 The Earth as a Physical System:B) Changes in matter
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B) Changes in matter.

2. Knowledge of Environmental Processes and Systems:2.1 The Earth as a Physical System:C) Energy
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C) Energy.

Notes From Our Reviewers The CLEAN collection is hand-picked and rigorously reviewed for scientific accuracy and classroom effectiveness. Read what our review team had to say about this resource below or learn more about how CLEAN reviews teaching materials
Teaching Tips | Science | Pedagogy | Technical Details

Teaching Tips

There are some useful comments on the instructor notes included with this lesson - http://serc.carleton.edu/files/NAGTWorkshops/earlyearth/activities/ArcheanModelInstrucNotes.pdf
CO₂ levels are listed at 370 ppm in the activity write-up that can be downloaded. This needs to be updated since current levels are over 400 and rising.
GEEBITT is a modeling tool from NASA configured for HS and post-secondary students to input data on solar luminosity, albedo, and an atmospheric greenhouse gas loading parameter in order to analyze the global mean surface temperature in different climate regimes. The NASA GEEBITT tool can be found at: http://icp.giss.nasa.gov/education/geebitt/

About the Content

Students use a simple spreadsheet climate model to explore how solar luminosity, albedo, and an atmospheric greenhouse gas loading parameter affect the global mean surface temperature in different climate regimes (Modern, Archean, Neoproterozoic).
This activity has students explore model scenarios; real and recent data can be added to the activity by the instructor.
The two science articles from Scientific American are excellent.
GEEBITT is a 1-dimensional energy balance model that calculates global mean surface temperature, based on a planet’s distance from the sun, solar luminosity, global albedo, and a parameterized ‘greenhouse-factor’ (called ‘GHF’ in the activity).
Comments from expert scientist: Great exposure to a relevant model. Also allows students to play with the model and investigate several interesting climate questions.

About the Pedagogy

Students work in teams of 2 or 3 to conduct a series of computer experiments with the simple spreadsheet model, collect and evaluate data, and then share their results in a class discussion.
If class time is short, the class may be divided into three groups, with each group focusing on a different time period (Modern, Archean, Neoproterozoic). At the end of the class, each group can share their results and insights with the class as a whole.
This resource may be difficult to do without a familiarity with a number of topics (clarified in the instructions). The readings will help students better understand the the parts of Earth's history that are featured in the activity.
Students should be comfortable with using spreadsheets (such as Excel) and spreadsheet models.
It would be helpful for teachers to review some of the formulas in the spreadsheet.

This resource engages students in using scientific data.
See other data-rich activities

Technical Details/Ease of Use

There are two assigned readings from Scientific American that should be linked from the activity for easy access: When Methane Made Climate and Snowball Earth.
Activity handout and instructors notes are provided but the instructions are not as detailed as many educators and students might need.

Entered the Collection: June 2013 Last Reviewed: September 2016

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High School (see details)