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IPCC Scenarios for the Year 2100

Robert A. Rhode, Globalwarming Art

The figure summarizes some of the key variations amongst the six illustrative scenarios used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in considering possible future emissions of greenhouse gases during the 21st century.

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Climate Literacy
About Teaching Climate Literacy

Observations, experiments, and theory are used to construct and refine computer models
About Teaching Principle 5
Other materials addressing 5c
Climate models are robust enough to be used for guiding decision and actions as response to climate change
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Notes From Our Reviewers The CLEAN collection is hand-picked and rigorously reviewed for scientific accuracy and classroom effectiveness. Read what our review team had to say about this resource below or learn more about how CLEAN reviews teaching materials
Teaching Tips | Science | Pedagogy | Technical Details

Teaching Tips

  • A description of the role of models in climate science should precede the viewing of these graphs. Instructors should review the units used on the graphs.
  • Each of the six scenarios could be assigned to different working groups that could investigate the scenario in depth and then report out to the other groups. Groups could be tasked with identifying which stakeholders might be invested in the scenario. Creative educator could create a debate. Each of the scenarios is only a possible outcome along with a range of decisions that are associated with the scenario.
  • Educator would benefit from making a structured support sheets to aid students.

About the Science

  • A visual way of looking at variations in population, income, energy use, cumulative CO2, distribution efficiency of energy, and fossil fuel portion of energy use projected under each of the six scenarios.
  • Passed initial science review - expert science review pending.

About the Pedagogy

  • Good content information given for both students and teachers.
  • A good description of the different scenarios is given below the graphical representation. Each scenario represents a vision of the world that might occur if global warming were not a factor. This is an important disclaimer that isn't highly visible and should be clearly emphasized.
  • Links are provided for additional background and reference http://www.grida.no/climate/ipcc/emission/093.htm1 , which provides users further explanation of each of the scenarios based on the IPCC report.

Technical Details/Ease of Use

  • Graphic is offered in a variety of sizes to save to the desktop.

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